CURRICULUM VITAE
PAUL MOSLEY
Place and date of
birth:
British citizen
EDUCATION
DEGREES
BA Economics,
MA, Economics,
PhD Economics,
POSTS HELD
Economist/Statistician,
Ministry of Economic Planning and Development,
Lecturer in Economics, University of Strathclyde, 1971-73.
Lecturer in Economics, University of Bath, 1974-79.
Economic Adviser, Ministry of Overseas Development, 1979-80 (on secondment).
Lecturer in Economics, University of Bath, 1980-83.
Reader in Economics, University of Bath, 1983-85.
Professor of Development Economics and Policy and Director of Institute for Development Policy and Management, University of Manchester, 1986-1992.
Professor of
Economics and Director of University Development Centre, University of
HONORARY APPOINTMENTS
Visiting Research
Associate, University of
MANAGERIAL EXPERIENCE
Director,
1986-1993. (40 staff).
Director,
Development Centre,
TEACHING EXPERIENCE
1971-73 Postgraduate courses in development economics, options in industrialisation and foreign aid.
Third year micro-economics.
1974-85 First year macro-economics.
Second year economics of development.
Third year economics of development, macro-economic policy.
Postgraduate economic theory, macro-economics of public expenditure and taxation, project planning and evaluation.
Also
extra-mural classes for
1985 to 1993 Second year economics of development.
Postgraduate economic theory, development policy, international finance, financial management, agricultural policy.
1993 - Second year economics of development.
Third year macro and growth theory.
Postgraduate development economics, research methods, microfinance, economic principles for aid donor agencies.
Also Open University summer schools and
extra-mural classes for
CONSULTANCY EXPERIENCE
1972 to
United Nations Economic Commission for Africa, to help write Survey of Economic Conditions in
1976 to
1980 to
Overseas Development Administration, to assist with the evaluation of the
Cajamarca agricultural development project in
1983 to joint task force of Governors of the IMF and World Bank, to assist with evaluation of effectiveness of aid from OECD countries.
1985 to
Advisory Committee on Development cooperation,
1986 to Action Aid UK, to run training programme in evaluation methods for Asia Division project staff and evaluate an integrated rural development project in Nepal.
1987 to
ODA/British Council (TETOC), to design training programmes on rural credit for
staff of National Bank for Agricultural and Rural Development,
1988 to FAO (Economic and Social Policy Division) to conduct analyses for proposed survey of External Financial Flows to Agriculture.
1990 to UNICEF, to review human resource constraints to efficient utilisation of overseas aid flows.
1990 to
FAO (Economic and Social Division) to analyse effects of the
1991 to World Bank (Country Economics Department) to assess the quality and effectiveness of the Bank's country economic work between 1988-1991.
1992 to Commonwealth Secretariat, to assess technical assistance to the Zambian public sector.
1993 to
Inter-American Development Bank, to assess the effectiveness of IDB operations
1980-93. (
1993 to ODA, to train staff of Vietnamese universities in modern economics.
1994 to
ILO, to design macro-economic component
of ILO's employment strategy for
1994 to
ILO, to design macro-economic component for employment and poverty strategy in
1995 to
IMF/UNDP, to evaluate technical assistance to economic management in
1995 to ODA, to assess effectiveness of overseas aid in selected aid-recipient countries.
1995 to FCO Know-How Fund to assess capital investment programme in Polish agriculture and design on associated training project.
1996 To EU (DG8) to assess effectiveness of aid in ACP countries.
1997 to
DFID (Eastern Africa Development Division) to design a poverty strategy for the
1997 to
ILO, to design options for improving labour absorption and poverty reduction in
1997 to UN Staff College, to design new programmes in macro-economics and economic policy reform for Development Studies Programme.
1998 to World Bank, to assess effects of macro-economic policy on growth.
1998 to WIDER, to examine effects of financial reform on access to credit at local level in selected African countries.
PUBLICATIONS
A. Already in print
i. Books
1. The settler economies: studies in the
economic development of
2. The making of economic policy: theory and
evidence from
3. Overseas aid: its defence and reform, Harvester Press, 1987.
4. (lead author, with Jane Harrigan and John Toye) Aid and Power: the World Bank and policy-based lending in the 1980s, 2 vols., Routledge, 1991. Second edition, Routledge, 1994.
5. (editor) Development Finance and Policy Reform: essays in the theory and practice of conditionality in less developed countries, Macmillan (International Political Economy series), 1992.
6. (with David Hulme), Finance Against Poverty: Effective Institutions for Lending to the Poor, 2 vols., Routledge, 1996.
ii Articles
(* = refereed journal)
7. "An
economic analysis of agricultural research results", Ministry of Agriculture Quarterly Review (
8*. "The economics of colonialism: a review article", Journal of Economic Studies 2, (November 1974), 150-161.
9*. "Towards a 'satisfying' theory of economic policy", Economic Journal, 86 (March 1976), 59-73. Reprinted in P. Earl (ed.) Behavioural Economics, (Schools of Thought in Economics, vol. 6), ch. 19, Edward Elgar, 1988.
10. Review
article on industrialisation in sub-Saharan
11*. "The Southern African Customs Union: a reappraisal", World Development 6 (January 1978) 31-45.
12. "Implicit
models and policy recommendations: policy towards the 'informal sector' in
13*. "Images of the 'floating voter': or the 'political business cycle' revisited", Political Studies 26 (September 1978), 375-396.
14*. "Reply to Robson and Landell-Mills" (on the Southern African Customs Union), World Development 7 (January 1979), 87-88.
15*. "Aid, savings and growth revisited" Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 42 (May 1980), 79-97.
16*. "Aid
for the poorest: some early lessons of
17*. "Donor interest versus recipient need in aid policy", Political Studies 29 (June 1981) 245-253.
18*. "The Treasury Committee and the making of economic policy", Political Quarterly 52 (July 1981), 348-355.
19. "The economics of providing low-paid public-sector jobs for the unemployed". Technical paper submitted to the House of Commons Select Committee on Social Services 1981, reprinted in Third Report from the Social Services Committee: Public Expenditure on the Social Services (HC 324), vol. II (July 1981), 147-150.
20. "The 'market' for overseas aid expenditures". Development Research Digest 6 (Winter 1981), 73-77.
21*. "
22. "ODA financial support for voluntary agencies", memorandum published in Second Report from the Foreign Affairs Committee: Supply Estimates 1982-83, (HC 330 of 1981-2, July 1982), 94-99.
23. "Evaluating the commercial benefits from aid", memorandum published in Second Report from the Foreign Affairs Committee: Supply Estimates 1982-83, (HC 330 of 1981-82, July 1982), 101-104.
24*. "Agricultural
development and government policy in settler economies: the case of
25. "British
aid 1960-1982" and "Aid evaluation", chapters in C. Elliott et al.
Real Aid: a strategy for
26. "Sistemas
de mercado y distribucion
27. "The
economy as represented by the popular press", Studies in Public Policy,
No. 102,
28. "The quality of overseas aid" ODI Review, 2 (October 1982), 46-56.
29*. "Marketing
systems and income distribution: the case of milk producers in highland
30*. "The politics of evaluation: a comparative study of World Bank and UK ODA evaluation procedures", Development and Change 14 (October 1983), 593-608.
31*. "Popularity functions and the role of the media", British Journal of Political Science 14 (January 1984), 117-133.
32*. "The international debt crisis", Development Policy Review 2 (May 1984), 91-98.
33*. "Agricultural development and government policy: a reply", Economic History Review 37 (August 1984), 414-416.
34*. "Aid effectiveness", Journal of Development Studies 20 (September 1984), 134-137.
35*. (with Richard Cracknell) "Endogenous government policy in a model of the British economy", Applied Economics 16 (October-November 1984), 633-646.
36*. "The political economy of foreign aid: a model of the market for a public good", Economic Development and Cultural Change 22 (January 1985), 373-393.
37. "The behaviour of the macro-economy", Chapter 7 in C. Sandford and M. Bradbury (eds) Case Studies in Economics, 3rd edition, Longmans, January 1985.
38. (with
W. Lawrence-Jones and
39*. "Towards a predictive model of overseas aid expenditures", Scottish Journal of Political Economy, vol. 32 (February 1985), 1-19.
40*. "Achievements and contradictions of the Peruvian agrarian reform: a regional perspective", Journal of Development Studies, vol. 21 (April 1985), 440-448.
41*. "When
is a policy instrument not a policy instrument? Fiscal marksmanship: in
42*. "The
politics of liberalisation: USAID and the World Bank in
43*. "Loans
for the poorest: early lessons from the Small Farmer Development Programme,
44. "Aid
effectiveness: the micro-macro paradox",
45*. "Agricultural
performance in
46. "Economic Policy", Chapter 6 in H. Drucker (ed.) Developments in British Politics, Longmans, 1986.
47*. "Risk, insurance and small farm credit in developing countries: a policy proposal", Public Administration and Development, vol. 6 (September 1986), 309-319.
48*. "Uncertainty, insurance and informal credit markets in less-developed countries", Manchester Papers on Development, vol. 2 (November 1986), 22-38.
49. Contributor to R. Cassen (ed), Does aid work?, Oxford University Press, 1986.
50*. (with
Rudra Prasad Dahal) "Credit for the rural poor: a comparison of policy
experiments in
51*. (with John Hudson and Sara Horrell), "Aid, the public sector and the market in less developed countries", Economic Journal, vol. 97 (September 1987), 616-642. Reprinted in H. Singer, N. Hatti and Y. Tandon (eds.), Aid and External Financing in the 1990s, ch. 9, Delhi: Indus Publishing Co., 1991; also in D. Lal, Development Economics III, (Library of Critical Writings in Economics, vol.18, ch. 15, Aldershot: Edward Elgar).
52. "Privatisation, policy-based lending and World Bank behaviour", chapter in P. Cook and C. Kirkpatrick (eds), Privatisation in Developing Countries, Wheatsheaf, 1987.
53. Poverty-focused aid: the lessons of
experience, Action Aid
54. Oral evidence to House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee, published in House of Commons, Bilateral Aid: Country Programmes (Second Report from the Foreign Affairs Committee: HC 32 of 1986-87) pp. 93-115.
55*. "Conditionality
as bargaining process: a study of World Bank Structural Adjustment Lending
1980-86", Princeton Essays in
International Finance, No. 168, October 1987. Reprinted in S. Haggard (ed.), The International Political Economy and the
Developing Countries, vol. 2, (Library of International Political Economy)
56. "The
supply of food to
57. "Aid and trade" chapter in D. Greenaway (ed) Economic Development and International Trade, Macmillan 1988.
58. "On
persuading a leopard to change his spots: strategies for donors and recipients
of conditional development aid", Chapter 2 in R. Bates (ed.) Towards a political economy of development:
a rational choice perspective,
59*. (with John Toye) "The design of structural adjustment programmes", Development Policy Review, vol. 5, (December 1988), 395-414.
60*. "Effective stabilisation policy in less developed countries: review article", Journal of International Development, vol. 1 (April 1989) 273-280.
61*. "Crop and livestock insurance schemes in developing countries: some issues of design", Savings and Development, vol. 13:2 (August 1989), 5-21 (reprinted in Italian as 'Schemi di assicurazione dei rischi agricoli nei paesi in via di sviluppo: alcuni punti di discussione', Il Risparmio 37 (July-August 1989), 635-650.
62*. (with
63*. (with Paul Cook) "On the evaluation of 'external effects' in project appraisal", Project Appraisal, vol. 4 (September 1989), 143-151.
64. "Aid effectiveness and the 'market' for technical cooperation expenditures" and 'World Bank policy-based lending 1980-87: an evaluation', essays in O. Stokke and L. Berlage (eds.) Aid Effectiveness: a survey, European Association of Development Institutes, 1990.
65*. "Aid, the public sector and the market in less developed countries: a reply", Economic Journal, vol. 100 (March 1990), 224-225.
66. "The
ODA, the World Bank and structural adjustment" in P. Burnell (ed)
67. "Structural
adjustment and stabilisation: a review" in V. Balasubramanian and
68. "How
weak countries can stand up to the World Bank and get away with it: a case
study of
69*. "In defence of development banking" Journal of International Development vol.2 (July 1990), 399-403.
70. "Increased
aid flows and human resource development in Africa", Innocenti Occasional Papers
5,
71. "Impact
of structural adjustment on income distribution with special reference to
Africa" in H.W. Singer (ed.) Structural
Adjustment and Agriculture,
(Training materials for Agricultural Planning: 25),
72*. (with Jane Harrigan) "Estimating the impact of World Bank Structural Adjustment Lending 1980-1987", Journal of Development Studies, vol. 27 (April 1991), 63-94.
73. (with
Jane Harrigan) "The assessment of programme aid expenditures" in M.
Malek (ed.) Contemporary Issues in European Development Aid, Avebury Press, 1992.
74*. "La Banque mondiale:
a-t-elle un pouvoir politique?", Marches Tropicaux, July 1991, 1829-1832.
75*. "Policy-making
without facts: a note on the assessment of structural adjustment policies in
76*. (with John Hudson and Sara Horrell) " Aid, the public sector and the market in less developed countries: a return to the scene of the crime", Journal of International Development, vol. 4 (March-April 1992), 139-151.
77. "L'ajustement structurel: une vue d'ensemble
1980-1989", chapter 1 in Jean-Marc Fontaine (ed.) Reforme du commerce exterieur et politiques de developpement, Presses Universitaires de France, 1992,
37-56.
78. "World
Bank-Supported Adjustment Programs:
79. 'Aiuti
economici e sviluppo delle risorse umane in
80*. (with
J. Weeks) 'Has recovery begun?: "
81. 'Decomposing
the effects of structural adjustment', chapter in F. Van der Kraaij and R. van
der Hoeven (eds) Structural adjustment and
Beyond in Sub-Saharan Africa,
82*. (with
J. Weeks), 'Adjustment in
83. 'Productivity
change in grain crops:
84*. Policy and Capital Market Constraints to the
African Green Revolution, Innocenti Occasional Papers, 38,
85. 'Decomposing the effects of structural adjustment', Chapter 5 in J. Pronk (ed.), Structural Adjustment in Sub-Saharan Africa: Research and Policy Issues, The Hague, Netherlands Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
86. 'Bolivia: Case Study', 142-171 in S. Griffith-Jones (ed.), Assessment of the IDB Lending Programme 1979-92, Brighton: Institute of Development Studies, 1994.
87*. 'Can
crop insurance work? The case of
88. ‘Comment’ on K. Goto, ‘The main issues of the East Asian Miracle: the World Bank Report as assessed by UK critics’, Journal of Development Assistance, Vol. 1: 1 (1995) 13-50.
89*. (with
T. Subarat and J. Weeks) 'Assessing Adjustment in
90*. 'Development economics and the under-development of Sub-Saharan Africa', Journal of International Development, Vol. 7 (September 1995), 685-706.
91*. 'Optimal incentives to repay in institutions lending to low-income groups: an Indonesian case study, Savings and Development, 19 (Sept. 1995) 257-278.
92. ‘The
failure of aid and adjustment policies in
93. ‘Globalisation
and liberalisation in sub-Saharan Africa:
implications for growth and poverty’, in UNCTAD, Globalisation and liberalisation:
effects of international economic relations on poverty,
94. (with
David Hulme) ‘Credit for the poor or poorest?
Financial innovation, poverty and vulnerability’, Chapter 3 in G. Wood
and I. Sharif (eds) Who needs credit? Poverty and
Finance in
95. Financial sustainability, targeting the poorest, and income impact: are there trade-offs for microfinance institutions? CGAP Focus Note No. 5, World Bank, January 1997.
96*. ‘The World Bank, “Global Keynesianism” and the distribution of the gains from growth’, World Development, 25 (November 1997), 1949-1957.
97. ‘Global Keynesianism and North-South models’, chapter 20 in D. Sapsford and J. R. Chen (eds) Development Economics and Policy: Essays in Honour of Sir Hans Singer, London: Macmillan, 1998.
98. Appendix 8 to House of Commons, The Overseas Development White Paper: First Report from the International Development Committee, pp. 39-41, November 1997.
iii Reviews in Journal of Economic Studies, Journal of Modern African Studies, Journal of Social Policy, ODI Review, Food Policy, Journal of Development Studies, Political Studies, Development Policy Review, Economic Journal, Journal of Agricultural Economics, Manchester Papers on Development, and other academic journals.
B. Material accepted for publication
in 1998
The Green Revolution in
Second edition of Overseas Aid: its defence and reform (see 3 above), Routledge, 1998.
Economic Policy Making: Evolution of Theory and Practice since 1945,
*(with David Hulme) ‘Microenterprise Finance: is there a conflict between growth and poverty alleviation?’ forthcoming World Development, vol. 26 (May 1998).
C. Material
submitted for publication but referred back for revision, or not yet accepted.
Articles
'Creditor's
dilemma: conditionality versus debt
enforcement', submitted to Economic
Journal.
(with John
Hudson) 'Aid effectiveness: results from a new model with endogenous
lag-structure', submitted to Review of
Economics and Statistics.
'Policy and
capital market constraints to the African Green Revolution:
(with Sara
Horrell) 'A microcomputer teaching model of the
RESEARCH GRANTS AWARDED
£11,545 from Overseas Development Administration (Evaluation Unit) for evaluation of poverty-focused development projects. November 1980.
£2,848 from Nuffield Foundation for research in East African economic history. March 1982.
$38,500 from
World Bank for evaluation of effectiveness of development aid with particular
reference to sub-Saharan
(with John Toye) £107,313 from Overseas Development Administration (Economic and Social Committee) for evaluation of World Bank Structural Adjustment Loans, November 1985.
(with
(with David Hulme) £115,000 from Overseas Development Administration (Economic and Social Committee) for research on design of credit institutions aimed at small businesses and low income farmers in developing countries, February 1991. Supplementary grant of £10,000 for diffusion of the results from this project, September 1995.
£4,995 from
Nuffield Foundation for research on determinants of private investment in
£14,300 from ODA for study of aid effectiveness in specified countries, June 1995.
£19,850 from ODA
for study of labour markets in
£77,000 from Gatsby Charitable Trust for study of determinants of technical change in African foodcrops, June 1996.
£69,300 from ODA for study of impact of aid on the private sector of developing and transitional economies, June 1996.
£113,000 from DFID for study of diffusion and sustainability of
foodcrops technology in
CURRENT AND FUTURE
RESEARCH PLANS
1. Development finance (programme grant application currently with DFID)
2. Green
Revolution in
3. Social effects of economic reform in transitional countries.
4. Social effects of micro-hydro power in low income countries.
OTHER ACTIVITIES WITHIN AND OUTSIDE THE UNIVERSITY
Participation in major conferences since 1987
Academic convenor, Development Studies Association Annual Conference, September 1987 and September 1996.
Presented paper
on "The effects of macro-economic policies on African agriculture
1980-87" at Agricultural Economics Association conference,
Presented paper
on 'World Bank lending for structural adjustment' at ESRC International
Economics Study Group Conference, Isle of Thorns,
Presented papers
on 'Evaluation of UK technical assistance', and 'World Bank policy-based
lending 1980-1987: an evaluation' at European Association of Development
Institutes Conference on aid effectiveness,
Organiser of international conference on Policy-Based Lending, Hulme Hall,
Discussant at World Bank's Second Conference on Adjustment Lending,
Convenor of panel on 'Aid and Trade in the 1990s' at Royal Economic Society Conference, City University, London, 30 March-2 April 1992.
Presenter on
review paper on performance of the Inter-American Development Bank,
Presented paper
of 'Creditor's dilemma: conditionality versus debt enforcement' at Royal
Economic Society Conference,
Presented paper
on 'Aid, policy reform and endogenous growth' at Royal Economic Society
Conference,
Discussant at World Bank conference on Finance for the Poor,
Co-convenor (with World Bank) of
conference on Finance Against Poverty,
Discussant at UNCTAD conference on
Globalisation and Poverty,
Presented paper
on 'Global Keynesianism and North-South models' at conference in honour of Sir
Hans Singer,
Presented paper
on ‘Structural Adjustment and Labour Markets:
OTHER ACADEMIC AND
ADMINISTRATIVE ACTIVITIES
Member, Royal Economic Society Programme Committee, 1991-95.
Managing Editor, Journal of International Development, since 1989.
Member of
Editorial Advisory Board, Journal of
Development Studies, since 1992.
General Editor, Priorities in Development Economics series, Routledge Publishers.
Member of Board of Trustees of the development charity Action Aid, since 1989.
Special Adviser to House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee, Overseas Development Sub-Committee, 1982-1983.
I have given radio broadcasts (mostly BBC Radio 4) and given evidence to the House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee (see Publications above) on development policy issues.
External examiner for BA and MA schemes in Economics and Government, University of Essex from 1983; for MSc. scheme in Development Policy and Planning, University College of Swansea, 1984-87; for MSc. scheme in National Development and Project Planning, University of Bradford, 1984-1987; for MSc. scheme in Development Economics, University of Salford, 1987-1990; for MSc. scheme in Social Planning, LSE, 1988-91; for MA in Development Studies, University of Leeds, 1988 - 1990; for economics component of BA Modern Languages, Bristol Polytechnic, from 1988-1991; for MA in Development Economics, University of Kent, from 1989-1992; for MPhil. in Development Studies, University of Cambridge, from 1990-1992; for MA Economic Development and Policy Analysis, University of Nottingham, from 1994; for MPhil in Development Studies, University of Sussex, from 1995 to 1997; for MA in Development Policy and Planning, University of Bristol, from 1995 to 1997; for MA Schemes in Development Studies, University of Glasgow, from 1998.
I have examined
PhD. theses for the Universities of Cambridge,
Member of Council of Development Studies Association of UK from 1985-1988, and from 1992 - date.
I have refereed
several research projects on development and economic policy-making for the (